A bank offers loan to its customers on different types of interest namely, fixed rate, floating rate and variable rate. From the past data with the bank, it is known that a customer avails loan on fixed rate, floating rate or variable rate with probabilities 10%, 20% and 70% respectively. A customer after availing loan can pay the loan or default on loan repayment. The bank data suggests that the probability that a person defaults on loan after availing it at fixed rate, floating rate and variable rate is 5%, 3% and 1% respectively. The teacher hasn't uploaded a solution for this question yet.
Let F, G, and V denote the events that a customer avails loan on fixed rate, floating rate, and variable rate, respectively. Let D denote the event that a customer defaults on the loan repayment.
We are given the following probabilities:
We want to find the probability that a customer will default on the loan repayment, which is P(D). We can use the law of total probability to find P(D):
P(D) = P(D|F)P(F) + P(D|G)P(G) + P(D|V)P(V)
P(D) = (0.05)(0.10) + (0.03)(0.20) + (0.01)(0.70)
P(D) = 0.005 + 0.006 + 0.007
P(D) = 0.018
Correct Answer: 0.018
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